Tennis · W100 Amstetten · 23/07, 10:00

Prediction: Kali Supova vs Teodora Kostovic

Prediction summary
Winner
30% 70%
Kali Supova Teodora Kostovic
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kali Supova 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWWLLWWL
Teodora Kostovic 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWLWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kali Supova 1554 · Teodora Kostovic 1544
Kali SupovaTeodora Kostovic
Our model51%49%
Market12%88%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Kali Supova makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Kali SupovaTeodora Kostovic
Win %70%70%
Win % · Clay 67% (6) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.5-11.4-0.8
Games (G-P)12.5-10.411.4-8.9
Aces2.24.1
Double faults4.32.5
1st serve %60.8%66.7%
Break %48%45.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kali Supova

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Isabella Maria Serban
W100 Amstetten
2-1 17-14 W
20/07 Lucie Petruzelova
W100 Amstetten
2-0 12-6 W
19/07 Eszter Meri
W100 Amstetten
2-0 12-6 W
15/07 Petra Sedlackova
W75 Olomouc
1-2 13-14 L
11/07 Adithya Karunaratne
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
10/07 Tian Jialin
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
10/07 Dusica Popovski
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 16-12 W
08/07 Manon Favier
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 18-10 W
02/07 Eszter Meri
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
01/07 Melissa Boyden
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
2-1 16-10 W

Teodora Kostovic

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Arabella Koller
W100 Amstetten
2-0 12-4 W
16/07 Lucia Bronzetti
WTA Rome · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
14/07 Jennifer Ruggeri
WTA Rome · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
11/07 Ekaterine Gorgodze
W100 Aschaffenburg
0-2 7-13 L
10/07 Tamara Zidansek
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-0 12-3 W
09/07 Jule Niemeier
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-1 17-13 W
08/07 Tessa Johanna Brockmann
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-0 12-4 W
29/06 Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
25/06 Lin Zhu
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
24/06 Rebecca Sramkova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 17-16 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kali Supova vs Teodora Kostovic?

Our model gives 70% to Teodora Kostovic, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.