Tennis · W100 Amstetten · 21/07, 14:00
Prediction: Michaela Bayerlova vs Justina Mikulskyte
Prediction summary
Winner
Michaela Bayerlova
Justina Mikulskyte
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Michaela Bayerlova
7-3 (W-L)
Justina Mikulskyte
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Michaela Bayerlova
0–1
Justina Mikulskyte
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michaela Bayerlova 1527 · Justina Mikulskyte 1524
| Michaela Bayerlova | Justina Mikulskyte | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Michaela Bayerlova 0–1 Justina Mikulskyte (1).
- Note: Justina Mikulskyte makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Michaela Bayerlova | Justina Mikulskyte | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-8.5 | 10-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 58.1% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 58% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Michaela Bayerlova 0 – 1 Justina Mikulskyte (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Michaela Bayerlova 0–1 Justina Mikulskyte
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/22 ITF W25 Parnu | 1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michaela Bayerlova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Anna Kmiecik W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Livia Keller W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Diana Martynov WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Francesca Parcelli W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-11 | L |
| 29/06 | Maria Toma W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/06 | Anastasia Zolotareva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Elena Milovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Ena Ilic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Mariana Isabel Higuita Barraza W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/05 | Maria Sara Popa W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
Justina Mikulskyte
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Martyna Kubka W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 18/07 | Valeria Savinykh W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Maria Golovina W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Liv Boulard W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Eugenia Zozaya Menendez W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Chloe Paquet W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Lucia Bronzetti Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Carol Zhao Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/06 | Alicia Herrero Linana W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Sofia Costoulas W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michaela Bayerlova vs Justina Mikulskyte?
Our model gives 65% to Justina Mikulskyte, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.