Tennis · M25 Champaign · 21/07, 20:00

Prediction: Oliver Bonding vs Evan Bynoe

Prediction summary
Winner
70% 30%
Oliver Bonding Evan Bynoe
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Oliver Bonding 5-5 (W-L)
LWWWWLLLWL
Evan Bynoe 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWLWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oliver Bonding 1536 · Evan Bynoe 1477
Oliver BondingEvan Bynoe
Our model58%42%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oliver Bonding (rating 1536 vs 1477).

Statistics

Oliver BondingEvan Bynoe
Win %60%40%
Win % · Hard 83% (6) 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.2-0.91-1.2
Games (G-P)10.7-109.6-9.4
Aces3.83.2
Double faults2.73.1
1st serve %71.4%66.1%
Break %33.4%40.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oliver Bonding

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Timo Legout
M25 Louisville
0-2 3-12 L
14/07 Youssef Kadiri Hassani
M25 Louisville
2-0 12-6 W
07/07 Arda Azkara
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
22/06 Federico Coria
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 8-13 L
10/06 Alexander Rozin
M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
07/06 Oliver Ojakaar
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
2-0 14-11 W
06/06 Dmitry Popko
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
05/06 Marko Mesarovic
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
04/06 Justin Roberts
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
03/06 Nicolas Arseneault
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
2-1 14-12 W

Evan Bynoe

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/07 Mees Rottgering
M25 Louisville
0-2 6-12 L
16/07 Dylan Long
M25 Louisville
2-0 12-1 W
14/07 Eli Stephenson
M25 Louisville
2-0 12-4 W
09/07 Matthew Forbes
M25 Dallas
1-2 9-14 L
07/07 Marko Mesarovic
M25 Dallas
2-0 12-3 W
25/06 Oliver Ojakaar
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
24/06 Gus Grumet
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
16/06 Stian Klaassen
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
10/06 Jerry Roddick
M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
13/05 Andrew Fenty
M25 Pensacola · ~Clay
1-2 12-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oliver Bonding vs Evan Bynoe?

Our model gives 70% to Oliver Bonding, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.