Tennis · M25 Champaign · 21/07, 20:00

Prediction: Ronit Karki vs Lev Seidman

Prediction summary
Winner
62% 38%
Ronit Karki Lev Seidman
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ronit Karki 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLWWLLLL
Lev Seidman 4-6 (W-L)
WWLLWLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ronit Karki 1463 · Lev Seidman 1498
Ronit KarkiLev Seidman
Our model45%55%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Ronit KarkiLev Seidman
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 40% (10) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1-1.21.1-1.1
Games (G-P)9.9-11.28.9-9.8
Aces2.32.2
Double faults3.91.8
1st serve %67.6%59.8%
Break %35.6%34.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ronit Karki

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/07 Pavle Marinkov
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
28/06 James Trotter
Challenger Cary · Hard
1-2 11-18 L
25/06 Spencer Johnson
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
1-2 11-18 L
20/06 Bryce Nakashima
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
18/06 Vit Kalina
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
17/06 Felipe Vazquez
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
18/05 Taiyo Yamanaka
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
17/05 Aryan Lakshmanan
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
12/05 Manish Sureshkumar
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
11/05 Parth Aggarwal
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Lev Seidman

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Mees Rottgering
M25 Louisville
0-2 3-12 L
15/07 Jerald Carroll
M25 Louisville
2-0 12-5 W
07/07 Henry Ren
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
0-2 5-12 L
19/05 Thando Longwe-Smit
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
1-2 12-16 L
14/05 Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
13/05 Rayan Sajjid Koothrat
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
09/05 Romain Faucon
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 2-11 L
08/05 Rocco Piatti
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
2-1 15-11 W
07/05 Zak Talic
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
05/05 Timofei Derepasko
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ronit Karki vs Lev Seidman?

Our model gives 62% to Ronit Karki, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.