Tennis · M25 Champaign · 22/07, 17:00
Prediction: Jack Satterfield vs Naoya Honda
Prediction summary
Winner
Jack Satterfield
Naoya Honda
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jack Satterfield
4-6 (W-L)
Naoya Honda
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jack Satterfield 1517 · Naoya Honda 1500
| Jack Satterfield | Naoya Honda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Jack Satterfield | Naoya Honda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.3 | 12.2-12.1 |
| Aces | 1 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 42.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jack Satterfield
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Lorenzo Claverie M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 25/06 | Joshua Peck M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Noah Zamora M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Spencer Johnson M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Tristan Stringer M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Spencer Johnson M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 03/06 | Kelly Giese M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Oliver Ojakaar M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Raphael Perot ITF M15 Ann Arbor · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Naoya Honda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Kazushi Idogaki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Sora Fukuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/06 | Hunter Heck M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Takuya Kumasaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Azuma Visaya M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Jangjun Kim M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Alan Magadan M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 12/06 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/06 | Shu Matsuoka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-1 | 15-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jack Satterfield vs Naoya Honda?
Our model gives 55% to Naoya Honda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.