Tennis · W75 Vacaria · 22/07, 15:00
Prediction: Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez vs Carolina Alves
Prediction summary
Winner
Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez
Carolina Alves
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez
3-7 (W-L)
Carolina Alves
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez 1509 · Carolina Alves 1541
| Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez | Carolina Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez | Carolina Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11.6 | 11.7-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 57.8% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 50.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Daria Egorova W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Oceane Babel W15 Rio Claro |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Ana Candiotto W15 Rio Claro |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 09/07 | Chiara Di Genova W15 Rio Claro |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Carolina Xavier Laydner W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Diana Marcinkevica W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Briyana Ivanova W15 Madrid |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Neus Torner Sensano W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Elena Molla Pons W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/06 | Lucia Ros Parres W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Carolina Alves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Oceane Babel W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Berta Bonardi W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Weronika Falkowska W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Alena Kovackova W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Martina Capurro Taborda W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 14/06 | Antonia Rivera W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 13/06 | Noelia Zeballos W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Luiza Fullana W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Francesca Mattioli W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez vs Carolina Alves?
Our model gives 71% to Carolina Alves, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.