Tennis · M15 Brisbane · 21/07, 02:00
Prediction: Hayden Jones vs Asher Brownrigg
Prediction summary
Winner
Hayden Jones
Asher Brownrigg
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Hayden Jones
5-5 (W-L)
Asher Brownrigg
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hayden Jones 1483 · Asher Brownrigg 1438
| Hayden Jones | Asher Brownrigg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hayden Jones (rating 1483 vs 1438).
- Note: Hayden Jones makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Hayden Jones | Asher Brownrigg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-12 | 9.1-12.1 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 0 |
| Double faults | 4 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 61% |
| Break % | 33.4% | 20% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hayden Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Blake Ellis M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/06 | Kazuki Nishiwaki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/11 | Ryuki Matsuda Challenger Playford · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/11 | Joshua Charlton Challenger Playford · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/11 | Marek Gengel Challenger Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 10/11 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/11 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Asher Brownrigg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Jeremy Beale M25 Brisbane |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Haru Kawanaka UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/06 | Matt Hulme UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/06 | Jera Staley UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Brendan Loh UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/05 | Noah Brownrigg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Tomislav Edward Papac UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Valentino De Pellegrin UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/05 | Sam Wensley UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Marcus Schoeman UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hayden Jones vs Asher Brownrigg?
Our model gives 72% to Hayden Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.