Tennis · W35 Gentofte · 22/07, 10:00
Prediction: Marie Vogt vs Ann Akasha Ceuca
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Vogt
Ann Akasha Ceuca
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Vogt
7-3 (W-L)
Ann Akasha Ceuca
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Vogt 1554 · Ann Akasha Ceuca 1520
| Marie Vogt | Ann Akasha Ceuca | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Marie Vogt | Ann Akasha Ceuca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-8.5 | 10.4-10.1 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 60.6% |
| Break % | 59.7% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Vogt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W15 Krsko |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Rose Marie Nijkamp W15 Krsko |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Federica Trevisan W15 Krsko |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Romane Longueville W15 Krsko |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Maileen Nuudi W15 Krsko |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Merel Hoedt W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Danka Kovinic W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 29/06 | Emma Sophie Glaser W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Antonia Stoyanov W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Ann Akasha Ceuca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Julie Pastikova W75 Olomouc |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Anastasia Bertacchi W35 Don Benito |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Naomi McKenzie W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Ipek Oz W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Kateryna Diatlova W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 11/06 | Semra Aksu W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 10/06 | Annika Barth W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 07/06 | Deniz Dilek W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Marie Villet W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Ksenia Smirnova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Vogt vs Ann Akasha Ceuca?
Our model gives 68% to Marie Vogt, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.