Tennis · W35 Gentofte · 21/07, 10:00

Prediction: Carolina Kuhl vs Mara Guth

Prediction summary
Winner
52% 48%
Carolina Kuhl Mara Guth
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Carolina Kuhl 7-3 (W-L)
LLWWWWWLWW
Mara Guth 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLWWLWL
Head-to-head
Carolina Kuhl 2–0 Mara Guth (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carolina Kuhl 1545 · Mara Guth 1499
Carolina KuhlMara Guth
Our model57%43%
Market49%51%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carolina Kuhl (rating 1545 vs 1499).
  • Head-to-head: Carolina Kuhl 2–0 Mara Guth (2).
  • Note: Carolina Kuhl makes many double faults (4/match).
  • Note: Mara Guth makes many double faults (7.5/match).

Statistics

Carolina KuhlMara Guth
Win %60%40%
Win % · Clay 0% (1) 50% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.5-1.11.1-1.2
Games (G-P)12.7-11.411.4-10.9
Aces1.50.5
Double faults47.5
1st serve %57.9%56.4%
Break %56%49.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.2

H2H · Carolina Kuhl 20 Mara Guth (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Carolina Kuhl 20 Mara Guth

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DateSetsGamesRes.
12/05/23
ITF W15 Poertschach
2-115-16W
07/12/22
German Championship Women
2-013-9W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carolina Kuhl

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/07 Julie Struplova
W75 Olomouc
1-2 11-14 L
16/07 Valentina Ivanov
W75 Olomouc
2-1 18-12 W
15/07 Beatrise Zeltina
W75 Olomouc
2-1 15-13 W
14/07 Valeriia Artemeva
W75 Olomouc
2-0 12-4 W
13/07 Veronika Sekerkova
W75 Olomouc
2-0 13-6 W
09/07 Francesca Gandolfi
W35 Buzau
1-2 10-18 L
08/07 Madison Sieg
W35 Buzau
2-0 12-4 W
06/07 Iva Ivanova
W35 Buzau
2-1 18-16 W
17/06 Aran Teixido Garcia
W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
02/06 Alba Rey Garcia
W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard
1-2 14-15 L

Mara Guth

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/07 Isabel Skoog
W50 Darmstadt
1-2 14-19 L
06/07 Laura Hietaranta
W100 Aschaffenburg
1-2 14-16 L
26/06 Valentina Ivanov
W15 Kamen · ~Clay
0-2 10-14 L
25/06 Daniela Ciobanu
W15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
24/06 Isabella Angelina Abendroth
W15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
19/06 Julia Stusek
W35 Klosters · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
18/06 Nicole Gadient
W35 Klosters · ~Clay
2-0 13-5 W
16/06 Anais Gabriel
W35 Klosters · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
19/05 Aneta Laboutkova
W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay
1-2 12-15 L
30/04 Dunja Maric
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carolina Kuhl vs Mara Guth?

Our model gives 52% to Carolina Kuhl, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.