Tennis · M15 Brisbane · 21/07, 03:30
Prediction: Jeremy Zhang vs Kazuma Kawachi
Prediction summary
Winner
Jeremy Zhang
Kazuma Kawachi
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Jeremy Zhang
6-4 (W-L)
Kazuma Kawachi
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jeremy Zhang 1536 · Kazuma Kawachi 1444
| Jeremy Zhang | Kazuma Kawachi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jeremy Zhang (rating 1536 vs 1444).
- Jeremy Zhang is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jeremy Zhang | Kazuma Kawachi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.1 | 9.3-11 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 55.3% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jeremy Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/11 | Aidan Mchugh Challenger Champaign · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 10/11 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Champaign · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/11 | Enzo Wallart Challenger Champaign · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/11 | Erik Arutiunian ITF M25 East Lansing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Poonthong Komopisut ITF M25 East Lansing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 04/11 | Cameron Muller ITF M25 East Lansing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/10 | Sasha Colleu UTR Pro Champaign · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 09/10 | Adam Jilly UTR Pro Champaign · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/10 | Eli Dieveney UTR Pro Champaign · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Kazuma Kawachi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Masaki Tonaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Shion Yamada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Hiiro Sakamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Asahi Harazaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/06 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Rishabdev Raman M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Sanhui Shin M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jeremy Zhang vs Kazuma Kawachi?
Our model gives 65% to Jeremy Zhang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.