Tennis · M15 Brisbane · 21/07, 02:00
Prediction: Ashton Mcleod vs Nikita Volonski
Prediction summary
Winner
Ashton Mcleod
Nikita Volonski
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Ashton Mcleod
5-5 (W-L)
Nikita Volonski
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ashton Mcleod
0–1
Nikita Volonski
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ashton Mcleod 1496 · Nikita Volonski 1542
| Ashton Mcleod | Nikita Volonski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nikita Volonski (rating 1496 vs 1542).
- Head-to-head: Ashton Mcleod 0–1 Nikita Volonski (1).
- Note: Ashton Mcleod makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Ashton Mcleod | Nikita Volonski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.9 | 11-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 52.7% | 50.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Ashton Mcleod 0 – 1 Nikita Volonski (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ashton Mcleod 0–1 Nikita Volonski
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/26 UTR Pro Sydney | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ashton Mcleod
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Jera Staley UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Nikita Volonski UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Luca Connaughton UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Jeremy Beale UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Jake Delaney M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-9 | L |
| 02/06 | Chan-Yeong Oh M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/05 | Yan Cheng Chen M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 28/05 | Aoran Wang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
| 26/05 | Brody Nejedly M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-8 | W |
Nikita Volonski
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Jake Delaney M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Zane Stevens M25 Brisbane |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 20/06 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Luca Connaughton UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Jeremy Beale UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Ashton Mcleod UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Jonas Hahn UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Dane Sweeny ITF M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Sam Ryan Ziegann ITF M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 07/08 | Tai Leonard Sach ITF M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ashton Mcleod vs Nikita Volonski?
Our model gives 53% to Nikita Volonski, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.