Tennis · M15 Bali · 22/07, 03:00

Prediction: Yuttana Charoenphon vs Yuya Hirose

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Yuttana Charoenphon Yuya Hirose
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Yuttana Charoenphon 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLLLWLWW
Yuya Hirose 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLWWLWL
Head-to-head
Yuttana Charoenphon 1–0 Yuya Hirose (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yuttana Charoenphon 1459 · Yuya Hirose 1518
Yuttana CharoenphonYuya Hirose
Our model42%58%
Market72%28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuya Hirose (rating 1459 vs 1518).
  • Head-to-head: Yuttana Charoenphon 1–0 Yuya Hirose (1).
  • Note: Yuya Hirose makes many double faults (5.4/match).

Statistics

Yuttana CharoenphonYuya Hirose
Win %40%60%
Win % · Hard 25% (8) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.21.2-1.1
Games (G-P)7.8-10.710.3-9.7
Aces2.20.2
Double faults2.95.4
1st serve %62.5%60.9%
Break %34.6%44.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.8

H2H · Yuttana Charoenphon 10 Yuya Hirose (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Yuttana Charoenphon 10 Yuya Hirose

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DateSetsGamesRes.
20/07/26
M15 Bali
2-013-10W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yuttana Charoenphon

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/07 Yuya Hirose
M15 Bali
2-0 13-10 W
19/07 Rafa Jeconia Verdasco Mangunsong
M15 Bali
2-0 13-7 W
14/05 Alan Magadan
M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
13/05 Ha Minh Duc Vu
M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
05/05 Dominik Palan
M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
28/04 Ryuki Matsuda
M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
11/03 Andre Ilagan
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
30/10 Arthur Weber
ITF M15 Hua Hin · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
29/10 Kunanan Pantaratorn
ITF M15 Hua Hin · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
23/10 Oliver Clark Anderson
ITF M15 Hua Hin · Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Yuya Hirose

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/07 Yuttana Charoenphon
M15 Bali
0-2 10-13 L
19/07 Finley Dyer
M15 Bali
2-1 8-7 W
04/06 Tai Leonard Sach
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
02/06 Gray Voelzke
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
2-1 20-18 W
01/06 Yuki Karatsu
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
17/02 Noah Brownrigg
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
30/11 Jacob K Shen
UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
29/11 Yamato Nishiyama
UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
28/11 Christopher Kosei Ono
UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
27/11 Ryuto Kizaki
UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard
2-1 15-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yuttana Charoenphon vs Yuya Hirose?

Our model gives 59% to Yuttana Charoenphon, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.