Tennis · M15 Brisbane · 22/07, 03:00
Prediction: Daisuke Sumizawa vs Jake Delaney
Prediction summary
Winner
Daisuke Sumizawa
Jake Delaney
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Daisuke Sumizawa
2-8 (W-L)
Jake Delaney
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daisuke Sumizawa 1393 · Jake Delaney 1569
| Daisuke Sumizawa | Jake Delaney | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 73% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jake Delaney (rating 1393 vs 1569).
- Jake Delaney is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Daisuke Sumizawa | Jake Delaney | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 10% (10) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.9 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-13.2 | 13.4-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 8.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 78.9% |
| Break % | 26% | 30.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daisuke Sumizawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Riku Takahata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Riku Takahata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Yuto Oki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Riku Takahata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Seongwoo Cho M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/05 | Christopher Papa Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Leo Vithoontien M15 Kashiwa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/02 | Hien Q H Pham UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/02 | Taketo Takamisawa UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 05/02 | Koyu Yanagi UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
Jake Delaney
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Matt Hulme M25 Brisbane |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Benjamin O'Connell M25 Brisbane |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Chase Ferguson M25 Brisbane |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Nikita Volonski M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/07 | Duje Markovina M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Max Purcell M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Masamichi Imamura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/06 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/06 | Max Purcell M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daisuke Sumizawa vs Jake Delaney?
Our model gives 82% to Jake Delaney, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.