Tennis · M15 Brisbane · 21/07, 05:00
Prediction: Chen Dong vs Shinji Hazawa
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Prediction summary
Winner
Chen Dong
Shinji Hazawa
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Chen Dong
4-6 (W-L)
Shinji Hazawa
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chen Dong 1443 · Shinji Hazawa 1437
| Chen Dong | Shinji Hazawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Chen Dong | Shinji Hazawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.2 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.5-8.9 | 10.7-12 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 39% | 50.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chen Dong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Benjamin O'Connell M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/04 | Emile Hudd M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Sergey Petrov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Fanming Meng M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/01 | Remy Dugardin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 4-6 | L |
| 26/12 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 2-6 | L |
| 25/12 | Kazuki Nishiwaki M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/12 | Florent Bax M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 20/12 | Luca Wiedenmann M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/12 | Lorenzo Lorusso M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Shinji Hazawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Colin Sinclair M25 Brisbane |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 15/07 | Lachlan Mcfadzean M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Koki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Yuto Oki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Yuta Kikuchi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 26/05 | Yeonsu Jeong M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/05 | Yunseok Jang M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chen Dong vs Shinji Hazawa?
Our model gives 60% to Shinji Hazawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.