Tennis · W15 Nogent-sur-Marne · 20/07, 14:30
Prediction: Aleksandra Iankovskaia vs Ylenia Zocco
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksandra Iankovskaia
Ylenia Zocco
Estimated games
18.9
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandra Iankovskaia
4-6 (W-L)
Ylenia Zocco
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandra Iankovskaia 1496 · Ylenia Zocco 1446
| Aleksandra Iankovskaia | Ylenia Zocco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aleksandra Iankovskaia (rating 1496 vs 1446).
- Note: Aleksandra Iankovskaia makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Aleksandra Iankovskaia | Ylenia Zocco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.6-9.5 | 6.7-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 48.5% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 40% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandra Iankovskaia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Capucine Dournes W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-1 | 10-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Zoziya Kardava W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Lusia Maria Oprescu W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Maria Paredes Perez W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/06 | Belle Thompson W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Aysegul Mert W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Nahia Berecoechea W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Mimi Xu W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 19/05 | Diana Marcinkevica W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
Ylenia Zocco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Carla Grignac W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Beatrise Zeltina W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Andreea Prisacariu W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Ema Kovacevic W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 31/05 | Francesca Gandolfi W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 12/05 | Sarafina Olivia Hansen W35 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Nathalie Mackay Westling W35 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/05 | Maileen Nuudi W15 Kalmar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/03 | Sara Sorribes Tormo W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Fiona Ganz ITF W15 Solarino |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandra Iankovskaia vs Ylenia Zocco?
Our model gives 53% to Aleksandra Iankovskaia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.