Tennis · W100 Amstetten · 20/07, 13:00
Prediction: Ivana Sebestova vs Laura Svatikova
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Prediction summary
Winner
Ivana Sebestova
Laura Svatikova
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ivana Sebestova
7-3 (W-L)
Laura Svatikova
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ivana Sebestova
1–0
Laura Svatikova
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ivana Sebestova 1527 · Laura Svatikova 1448
| Ivana Sebestova | Laura Svatikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ivana Sebestova (rating 1527 vs 1448).
- Ivana Sebestova is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ivana Sebestova 1–0 Laura Svatikova (1).
- Note: Laura Svatikova makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Ivana Sebestova | Laura Svatikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-9.3 | 11.5-11.4 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 57.8% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 70.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Ivana Sebestova 1 – 0 Laura Svatikova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ivana Sebestova 1–0 Laura Svatikova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12/18 ITF Women Jablonec Nad Nisou | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ivana Sebestova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Anika Jaskova W100 Amstetten |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Barbora Michalkova W75 Olomouc |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Weronika Falkowska W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Anna Kmiecik W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Victoria Kapcia W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Khrystyna Vozniak W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/04 | Aurora Zantedeschi W75 Portoroz · ~Clay |
0-1 | 0-6 | L |
| 13/04 | Anamari Znuderl W75 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/03 | Clara Vlasselaer W75 Murska Sobota |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Laura Svatikova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Theresa Stabauer W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Nicole Gadient W75 Olomouc |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 11/07 | Kaja Najzer UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Emily Welker UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Alice Soulie UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 07/07 | Andrea Nova UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Ece Gencer UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Anna Mihalka W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Patricija Paukstyte UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 26/06 | Panna Bartha UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ivana Sebestova vs Laura Svatikova?
Our model gives 58% to Ivana Sebestova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.