Tennis · W75 Cordenons · 20/07, 14:00

Prediction: Angelica Raggi vs Diana Ilie

Prediction summary
Winner
75% 25%
Angelica Raggi Diana Ilie
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Angelica Raggi 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWWLLWL
Diana Ilie 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLWLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Angelica Raggi 1481 · Diana Ilie 1418
Angelica RaggiDiana Ilie
Our model59%41%
Market88%12%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Angelica Raggi (rating 1481 vs 1418).
  • Angelica Raggi is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Note: Angelica Raggi makes many double faults (4.6/match).

Statistics

Angelica RaggiDiana Ilie
Win %50%20%
Win % · Clay 56% (9) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.30.6-1.6
Games (G-P)9.9-10.57.4-11.5
Aces1.10.5
Double faults4.63.2
1st serve %57.6%51.9%
Break %57.4%34.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Angelica Raggi

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Antonia Stoyanov
W35 Torino
0-2 4-12 L
17/06 Natalija Senic
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
1-2 9-12 L
10/06 Carmen Andreea Herea
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
03/06 Dalila Spiteri
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
01/06 Martina Colmegna
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
31/05 Gaia Mais
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
2-1 14-13 W
16/05 Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
15/05 Giulia Safina Popa
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-1 17-11 W
14/05 Andreea Diana Soare
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
13/05 Ana Ioana Varsa
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-1 16-11 W

Diana Ilie

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/07 Micol Salvadori
W75 Cordenons
2-0 13-9 W
15/06 Valeriia Artemeva
W50 Haskovo · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
20/04 Madison Brengle
W100 Charlottesville
0-2 4-12 L
31/03 Jenna Dean
W35 Jackson · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
19/03 Ana Carmen Zamburek
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
1-2 16-16 L
17/03 Dalayna Hewitt
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
1-2 8-14 L
16/03 Stanislava Bobrovnikova
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
31/12 Chelsea Fontenel
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-11 L
24/12 Tian Jialin
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 1-11 L
23/12 Emma Mazzoni
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Angelica Raggi vs Diana Ilie?

Our model gives 75% to Angelica Raggi, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.