Tennis · W100 Amstetten · 20/07, 16:00
Prediction: Tena Lukas vs Alicia Herrero Linana
Prediction summary
Winner
Tena Lukas
Alicia Herrero Linana
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Tena Lukas
5-5 (W-L)
Alicia Herrero Linana
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tena Lukas 1460 · Alicia Herrero Linana 1566
| Tena Lukas | Alicia Herrero Linana | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alicia Herrero Linana (rating 1460 vs 1566).
- Alicia Herrero Linana is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Tena Lukas makes many double faults (7.3/match).
Statistics
| Tena Lukas | Alicia Herrero Linana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.2 | 11.6-8.1 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 7.3 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 57.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tena Lukas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W50 Darmstadt |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Carla Markus W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Julia Avdeeva W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Tina Manescu W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Marcelina Podlinska W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Danka Kovinic W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Mia Ristic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-9 | L |
| 04/06 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Makarska · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 28/05 | Gabriela Ce W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 27/05 | Weronika Ewald W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Alicia Herrero Linana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Dayeon Back W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/07 | Lea Nilsson W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Clara Burel WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Lucie Nguyen Tan WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/07 | Dune Vaissaud WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Savannah Broadus W35 Rome |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tena Lukas vs Alicia Herrero Linana?
Our model gives 57% to Alicia Herrero Linana, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.