Tennis · W75 Cordenons · 20/07, 11:00

Prediction: Camilla Gennaro vs Mariia Drobysheva

Prediction summary
Winner
70% 30%
Camilla Gennaro Mariia Drobysheva
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Camilla Gennaro 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWWLWLW
Mariia Drobysheva 2-8 (W-L)
LLWLLLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Camilla Gennaro 1557 · Mariia Drobysheva 1441
Camilla GennaroMariia Drobysheva
Our model66%34%
Market73%27%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Camilla Gennaro (rating 1557 vs 1441).
  • Camilla Gennaro is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Camilla GennaroMariia Drobysheva
Win %70%30%
Win % · Clay 71% (7) 25% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.60.8-1.5
Games (G-P)11.1-6.99.6-10.5
Aces10.4
Double faults2.23.1
1st serve %65.3%57.2%
Break %63.9%52.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Camilla Gennaro

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/07 Greta Petrillo
W75 Cordenons
2-0 12-2 W
16/07 Carlota Martinez Cirez
W35 Torino
0-2 6-12 L
14/07 Gergana Topalova
W35 Torino
2-0 12-5 W
01/07 Alina Granwehr
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
30/06 Sophia Biolay
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
2-0 13-11 W
29/06 Hena Cehajic
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
28/06 Charlotte Benedetti Ravon
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
2-0 12-0 W
12/06 Andreea Prisacariu
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
1-2 14-17 L
11/06 Anastasia Abbagnato
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
10/06 Denise Valente
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W

Mariia Drobysheva

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/07 Laura Cilekova
W75 Cordenons
2-0 12-7 W
14/07 Federica Trevisan
W15 Krsko
1-2 12-12 L
23/06 Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
22/06 Alja Senica
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
1-2 7-11 L
07/06 Weronika Falkowska
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
05/06 Lucie Petruzelova
W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
02/06 Victoria Borodulina
W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay
2-1 14-10 W
01/06 Eliska Drevojanova
W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
19/05 Anais Gabriel
W15 Grado · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
01/10 Marie Mettraux
ITF W15 Sibenik · Clay
0-2 11-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Camilla Gennaro vs Mariia Drobysheva?

Our model gives 70% to Camilla Gennaro, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.