Tennis · M15 Bali · 20/07, 05:30
Prediction: Corban Crowther vs Ren Nakamura
Prediction summary
Winner
Corban Crowther
Ren Nakamura
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Corban Crowther
5-5 (W-L)
Ren Nakamura
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Corban Crowther
0–1
Ren Nakamura
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Corban Crowther 1501 · Ren Nakamura 1450
| Corban Crowther | Ren Nakamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Corban Crowther (rating 1501 vs 1450).
- Head-to-head: Corban Crowther 0–1 Ren Nakamura (1).
Statistics
| Corban Crowther | Ren Nakamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.7 | 8.2-10.6 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.2% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 65% | 55.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Corban Crowther 0 – 1 Ren Nakamura (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Corban Crowther 0–1 Ren Nakamura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/22 ITF M15 Cairo | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Corban Crowther
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Diordan Macababbad M15 Bali |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Imran Daniel Abdul Hazli UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Jack Bruce-Smith UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Minh Phat Nguyen UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/07 | Thanh Minh Truong UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Taichi Wakamatsu UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Yuto Oki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Toshiki Karigyo UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Asahi Harazaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/06 | Hiiro Sakamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Ren Nakamura
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Taketo Takamisawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/04 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/04 | Drew Van Orderlain M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/03 | Scott Jones M15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/03 | Petar Jovic M15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/03 | Joshua Charlton M15 Wodonga · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/03 | James Beaven M25 Faro |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Corban Crowther vs Ren Nakamura?
Our model gives 62% to Corban Crowther, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.