Tennis · M15 Bali · 20/07, 04:00
Prediction: Yuttana Charoenphon vs Yuya Hirose
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuttana Charoenphon
Yuya Hirose
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Yuttana Charoenphon
4-6 (W-L)
Yuya Hirose
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuttana Charoenphon 1460 · Yuya Hirose 1541
| Yuttana Charoenphon | Yuya Hirose | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuya Hirose (rating 1460 vs 1541).
- Yuya Hirose is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Yuya Hirose makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Yuttana Charoenphon | Yuya Hirose | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.7-10 | 10.5-9 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 36% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuttana Charoenphon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Rafa Jeconia Verdasco Mangunsong M15 Bali |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/05 | Alan Magadan M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Ha Minh Duc Vu M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/05 | Dominik Palan M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/03 | Andre Ilagan M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Arthur Weber ITF M15 Hua Hin · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Kunanan Pantaratorn ITF M15 Hua Hin · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Oliver Clark Anderson ITF M15 Hua Hin · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Keerthivassan Suresh ITF M15 Hua Hin · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Yuya Hirose
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Finley Dyer M15 Bali |
2-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Tai Leonard Sach M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Gray Voelzke M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 01/06 | Yuki Karatsu M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/02 | Noah Brownrigg M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/11 | Jacob K Shen UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/11 | Yamato Nishiyama UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/11 | Christopher Kosei Ono UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/11 | Ryuto Kizaki UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 27/11 | Rin Kojima UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuttana Charoenphon vs Yuya Hirose?
Our model gives 57% to Yuttana Charoenphon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.