Tennis · W35 Gentofte · 20/07, 12:00
Prediction: Merel Hoedt vs Matylda Burylo
Prediction summary
Winner
Merel Hoedt
Matylda Burylo
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Merel Hoedt
2-8 (W-L)
Matylda Burylo
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Merel Hoedt 1447 · Matylda Burylo 1519
| Merel Hoedt | Matylda Burylo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matylda Burylo (rating 1447 vs 1519).
- Note: Merel Hoedt makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Merel Hoedt | Matylda Burylo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (8) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-11.8 | 8.8-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 57.8% | 56.9% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Merel Hoedt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Ema Kovacevic W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Marie Vogt W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Dune Vaissaud W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 26/06 | Charlotte Narti W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Jade Groen W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Estella Jaeger W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Adrienn Nagy W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Valeriia Artemeva W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Tilwith Di Girolami W15 Reichstett · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 17/04 | Alice Tubello W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Matylda Burylo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Phillippa Preugschat W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/06 | Sofia Maria Barbulescu W15 Galati · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Valentina Steiner W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Emina Honic W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Caroline Hermanns W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Isabel Petri Bere W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Franziska Sziedat W15 Oliva · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Andrea Burguete Beltran W15 Oliva · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 20/05 | Alice Gillan W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Sabine Rutlauka W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Merel Hoedt vs Matylda Burylo?
Our model gives 56% to Merel Hoedt, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.