Tennis · W35 Gentofte · 20/07, 14:00
Prediction: Isabel Skoog vs Oriana Gniewkowska
Prediction summary
Winner
Isabel Skoog
Oriana Gniewkowska
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Isabel Skoog
6-4 (W-L)
Oriana Gniewkowska
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Isabel Skoog 1534 · Oriana Gniewkowska 1443
| Isabel Skoog | Oriana Gniewkowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Isabel Skoog (rating 1534 vs 1443).
- Isabel Skoog is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Isabel Skoog makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Isabel Skoog | Oriana Gniewkowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-11.3 | 9-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 54% | 50.9% |
| Break % | 57.7% | 58.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Isabel Skoog
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Sarah Hartel W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/07 | Xinxin Yao W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Sina Herrmann W50 Darmstadt |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 13/07 | Mara Guth W50 Darmstadt |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Valentina Ivanov W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 17/06 | June Bjork W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 15/05 | Lea Nilsson W35 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Alina Granwehr W35 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 14/05 | Vladlena Bokova W35 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/05 | June Bjork W35 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Oriana Gniewkowska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Agnes Bang Kjaersgaard W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Amelia Paszun W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Alena Kovackova W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Dune Vaissaud W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/02 | Amelia Paszun W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Sophia Ksandinov W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Maria Golovina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/10 | Benedetta Ortenzi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 08/10 | Diae El Jardi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Agata Budnik W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Isabel Skoog vs Oriana Gniewkowska?
Our model gives 66% to Isabel Skoog, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.