Tennis · W75 Cordenons · 19/07, 11:30

Prediction: Diana Ilie vs Micol Salvadori

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Diana Ilie Micol Salvadori
Estimated games
19
Recent form · 10 last
Diana Ilie 3-7 (W-L)
WWLLLWLLLL
Micol Salvadori 3-7 (W-L)
WWLLLLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Diana Ilie 1427 · Micol Salvadori 1439
Diana IlieMicol Salvadori
Our model48%52%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Micol Salvadori makes many double faults (4.9/match).

Statistics

Diana IlieMicol Salvadori
Win %20%20%
Win % · Hard 29% (7) 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)0.5-1.70.7-1.7
Games (G-P)6.9-11.27.5-10.5
Aces0.50.4
Double faults3.14.9
1st serve %51.3%51.1%
Break %33.5%58%
Estimated total games (ours) 19

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Diana Ilie

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/06 Valeriia Artemeva
W50 Haskovo · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
20/04 Madison Brengle
W100 Charlottesville
0-2 4-12 L
31/03 Jenna Dean
W35 Jackson · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
19/03 Ana Carmen Zamburek
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
1-2 16-16 L
17/03 Dalayna Hewitt
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
1-2 8-14 L
16/03 Stanislava Bobrovnikova
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
31/12 Chelsea Fontenel
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-11 L
24/12 Tian Jialin
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 1-11 L
23/12 Emma Mazzoni
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
13/10 Mary Lewis
ITF W100 Macon · Hard
1-1 8-6 W

Micol Salvadori

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/06 Nikola Daubnerova
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 10-12 L
04/06 Chloe Noel
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
03/06 Giulia Alessia Monteleone
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
18/05 Sina Herrmann
W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay
1-2 8-10 L
06/05 Verena Meliss
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
15/04 Valeriya Strakhova
W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
08/04 Zuzanna Pawlikowska
W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
18/03 Sara Sorribes Tormo
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
17/03 Diana Viggiani
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
2-1 11-11 W
24/02 Anastasia Mozgaleva
W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
1-2 12-10 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Diana Ilie vs Micol Salvadori?

Our model gives 54% to Diana Ilie, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.