Tennis · W75 Cordenons · 19/07, 13:00
Prediction: Arianna Zucchini vs Mariia Bergen
Prediction summary
Winner
Arianna Zucchini
Mariia Bergen
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Arianna Zucchini
4-6 (W-L)
Mariia Bergen
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arianna Zucchini 1473 · Mariia Bergen 1444
| Arianna Zucchini | Mariia Bergen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Arianna Zucchini | Mariia Bergen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-10.6 | 8.4-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 53.8% | 54.7% |
| Break % | 57.9% | 55.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arianna Zucchini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Lia Karatancheva W35 Torino |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Daria Gorska W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-10 | L |
| 21/05 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Tara Wuerth W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 08/05 | Camilla Gennaro W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 07/05 | Angelica Raggi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/05 | Benedetta Ortenzi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/04 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/04 | Margaux Rouvroy W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/04 | Merel Hoedt W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Mariia Bergen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Sara Mikaca W15 Krsko |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Stella Jurina W15 Krsko |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/05 | Selina Atay W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/04 | Anna Shkutova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 08/04 | Adithya Karunaratne W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/04 | Liel Marlies Rothensteiner W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 23/11 | Marcelina Podlinska ITF W75 Fujairah |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Fatma Idrizovic UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/10 | Daniela Ciobanu UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Natalia P Surmacz UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arianna Zucchini vs Mariia Bergen?
Our model gives 71% to Arianna Zucchini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.