Tennis · W75 Cordenons · 19/07, 14:30

Prediction: Justine Bretnacher vs Sofia Avataneo

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Justine Bretnacher Sofia Avataneo
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Justine Bretnacher 2-8 (W-L)
LWLLLLLLLW
Sofia Avataneo 3-7 (W-L)
LLWWLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Justine Bretnacher 1423 · Sofia Avataneo 1450
Justine BretnacherSofia Avataneo
Our model46%54%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Justine Bretnacher makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Justine BretnacherSofia Avataneo
Win %20%30%
Win % · Hard 17% (6) 33% (9)
Sets (G-P)0.5-1.70.8-1.6
Games (G-P)5.2-11.48.9-11.7
Aces0.30.6
Double faults42.5
1st serve %46.8%51.4%
Break %46.3%59.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Justine Bretnacher

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Amelie Smejkalova
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 10-11 L
30/06 Sofia Shapatava
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
11/06 Aspen Schuman
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-11 L
09/06 Ekaterina Kuznetsova
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 12-12 W
02/06 Alice Battesti
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
26/11 Alba Salles Canudas
ITF W15 Torello · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
26/10 Valentina Steiner
ITF W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq · Hard
0-2 0-12 L
17/09 Ekaterina Maklakova
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
16/09 Mar C Morros
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
09/09 Aya El Sayed
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L

Sofia Avataneo

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/07 Maria De La Paz Alberto
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
0-2 4-12 L
07/07 Matilde Mariani
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 3-9 L
25/06 Matilde Mariani
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 10-14 L
23/06 Kristina Penickova
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 16-16 W
17/06 Karla Bartel
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
10/06 Soo Ha Jang
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 18-14 W
21/05 Mika Buchnik
W15 Gaborone · ~Hard
1-2 13-15 L
19/05 Sapir Cohen
W15 Gaborone · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
13/05 Ksenia Laskutova
W15 Gaborone · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
09/05 Ann Akasha Ceuca
W15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Justine Bretnacher vs Sofia Avataneo?

Our model gives 59% to Sofia Avataneo, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.