Tennis · W100 Amstetten · 19/07, 15:00
Prediction: Jessica Bertoldo vs Karolina Mrazikova
Prediction summary
Winner
Jessica Bertoldo
Karolina Mrazikova
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Jessica Bertoldo
2-8 (W-L)
Karolina Mrazikova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jessica Bertoldo 1391 · Karolina Mrazikova 1541
| Jessica Bertoldo | Karolina Mrazikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karolina Mrazikova (rating 1391 vs 1541).
- Karolina Mrazikova is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Jessica Bertoldo makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Jessica Bertoldo | Karolina Mrazikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (8) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.9 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.8-12.7 | 11.8-8.1 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 49.7% | 60% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jessica Bertoldo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Gaia Maduzzi W35 Torino |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Mariia Lazarenko W35 Torino |
2-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Lisa Claeys W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Masa Viriant W15 Grado · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/05 | Francesca Gandolfi W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Emma Lene W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 20/04 | Lucia Cortez Llorca W75 Chiasso · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 15/04 | Mariella Thamm W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/04 | Martina Trevisan W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Jenny Lim W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
Karolina Mrazikova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Megan Heuser W15 Krsko |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 04/07 | Nikola Hlavata UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 03/07 | Katarzyna Wysoczanska UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Georgia Andreea Craciun UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Megan Heuser UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/06 | Tereza Polakova UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/06 | Salma Drugdova W15 Osijek · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Tereza Stepankova W15 Osijek · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/05 | Julia Adams W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/05 | Sofia Barhacova W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jessica Bertoldo vs Karolina Mrazikova?
Our model gives 53% to Karolina Mrazikova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.