Tennis · W100 Amstetten · 19/07, 10:00
Prediction: Irina Balus vs Tayisiya Morderger
Prediction summary
Winner
Irina Balus
Tayisiya Morderger
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Irina Balus
5-5 (W-L)
Tayisiya Morderger
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Irina Balus 1519 · Tayisiya Morderger 1415
| Irina Balus | Tayisiya Morderger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Irina Balus (rating 1519 vs 1415).
- Irina Balus is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Irina Balus | Tayisiya Morderger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-8.8 | 7.3-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 56.5% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Irina Balus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Anna Siskova W75 Olomouc |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Eva Marie Voracek W75 Olomouc |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Anna Kmiecik W75 Olomouc |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W75 Olomouc |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Anika Jaskova W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Charlotte Van Zonneveld W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Gabriela Ce W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Maria Toma W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Tayisiya Morderger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Tereza Krejcova W75 Olomouc |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 26/04 | Elina Avanesyan W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/04 | Pia Lovric W75 Portoroz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Sofia Shapatava WTA Rovereto · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 12/10 | Dalila Jakupovic ITF W100 Les Franqueses · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Rende · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Oksana Selekhmeteva ITF W100 Lisboa |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Ellie Schoppe ITF W100 Lisboa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/09 | Emily Webley-Smith ITF W100 Lisboa |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Irina Balus vs Tayisiya Morderger?
Our model gives 74% to Irina Balus, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.