Tennis · W15 Nogent-sur-Marne · 19/07, 11:30
Prediction: Maria Andrienko vs Savine Erler
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Andrienko
Savine Erler
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Andrienko
7-3 (W-L)
Savine Erler
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Andrienko 1558 · Savine Erler 1552
| Maria Andrienko | Savine Erler | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Maria Andrienko | Savine Erler | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8.6 | 11.7-8.6 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 0.6 |
| 1st serve % | 58.6% | 60% |
| Break % | 59.7% | 54.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Andrienko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Ziva Falkner W15 Krsko |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Nala Kovacic W15 Krsko |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Stefanie Auer W15 Krsko |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/07 | Emily Sartz-Lunde W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 03/07 | Nour Sahnoun W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Sofia Camila Rojas W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 01/07 | Talia Neilson Gatenby W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Alyssa Reguer W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 24/06 | Talia Neilson Gatenby W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Yana Kim W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
Savine Erler
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Emma Wilson W35 Birmingham |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 12/10 | Hanna Jankowska W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Ania Hertel W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Olympe Lancelot W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Sarah Melany Fajmonova W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 15/09 | Amelie Brooks W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Leyna Bey W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/08 | Yana Morderger ITF W15 Wanfercee-Baulet · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Vicky Van De Peer ITF W15 Wanfercee-Baulet · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/08 | Tamila Gadamauri ITF W15 Wanfercee-Baulet · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Andrienko vs Savine Erler?
Our model gives 55% to Maria Andrienko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.