Tennis · WTA Prague · 19/07, 11:00
Prediction: Valentina Ryser vs Mai Hontama
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentina Ryser
Mai Hontama
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Valentina Ryser
9-1 (W-L)
Mai Hontama
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Valentina Ryser
1–0
Mai Hontama
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentina Ryser 1566 · Mai Hontama 1519
| Valentina Ryser | Mai Hontama | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valentina Ryser (rating 1566 vs 1519).
- Head-to-head: Valentina Ryser 1–0 Mai Hontama (1).
- Note: Valentina Ryser makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Mai Hontama makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Valentina Ryser | Mai Hontama | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-8.4 | 12.1-10.8 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 63% |
| Break % | 62.3% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Valentina Ryser 1 – 0 Mai Hontama (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valentina Ryser 1–0 Mai Hontama
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/26 W100 Gifu | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentina Ryser
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Maria Golovina W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 12/07 | Viktoria Hruncakova W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Martyna Kubka W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Victoria Allen W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Demi Tran W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Kristina Mladenovic WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Alana Smith WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 14-17 | W |
| 14/06 | Sana Garakani WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Mai Hontama
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Barbora Palicova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Alycia Parks WTA Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 13/07 | Magda Linette WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Akasha Urhobo Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Anastasia Kulikova WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 13/06 | Zongyu Li W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Anchisa Chanta W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Yidi Yang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/06 | Xinxin Yao W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentina Ryser vs Mai Hontama?
Our model gives 51% to Mai Hontama, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.