Tennis · WTA Prague · 21/07, 11:00

Prediction: Alycia Parks vs Lucie Havlickova

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Alycia Parks Lucie Havlickova
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alycia Parks 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWWWLWLL
Lucie Havlickova 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWWLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alycia Parks 1482 · Lucie Havlickova 1465
Alycia ParksLucie Havlickova
Our model52%48%
Market64%36%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Alycia Parks dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 63.2% break avg.
  • Lucie Havlickova dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 53.3% break avg.
  • Note: Alycia Parks makes many double faults (8.1/match).
  • Note: Lucie Havlickova makes many double faults (8.2/match).

Statistics

Alycia ParksLucie Havlickova
Win %40%30%
Win % · Clay 50% (2) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31-1.5
Games (G-P)11.3-12.512.2-13
Aces6.66.9
Double faults8.18.2
1st serve %68.3%68.4%
Break %63.2%53.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alycia Parks

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/07 Maria Sakkari
WTA Athens · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
15/07 Mai Hontama
WTA Athens · Hard
2-1 19-14 W
13/07 Valentini Grammatikopoulou
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
01/07 Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 5-13 L
29/06 Alicia Dudeney
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-6 W
20/06 Emiliana Arango
WTA Eastbourne · Grass
1-2 14-17 L
15/06 Tessa Johanna Brockmann
WTA Berlin · Grass
1-2 12-16 L
07/06 Maddison Inglis
WTA Queens · Grass
1-2 15-17 L
27/05 Viktorija Golubic
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
25/05 Leylah Annie Fernandez
French Open Women · Clay
2-0 12-8 W

Lucie Havlickova

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Harmony Tan
WTA Istanbul · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
07/07 Nao Hibino
W50 Corroios-Seixal
0-2 4-12 L
02/07 Stephanie Judith Visscher
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
0-2 10-14 L
01/07 Maria Garcia
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
23/06 Maria Lourdes Carle
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 16-18 L
12/06 Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
1-2 13-17 L
11/06 Jana Kovackova
W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-1 18-12 W
10/06 Hibah Shaikh
W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
04/06 Yasmine Kabbaj
WTA Makarska · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
19/05 Linda Fruhvirtova
French Open Women · Clay
1-2 13-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alycia Parks vs Lucie Havlickova?

Our model gives 59% to Alycia Parks, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.