Tennis · WTA Prague · 21/07, 11:00
Prediction: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Oceane Dodin
Prediction summary
Winner
Alisa Oktiabreva
Oceane Dodin
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alisa Oktiabreva
7-3 (W-L)
Oceane Dodin
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alisa Oktiabreva 1556 · Oceane Dodin 1499
| Alisa Oktiabreva | Oceane Dodin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alisa Oktiabreva (rating 1556 vs 1499).
- Note: Oceane Dodin makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Alisa Oktiabreva | Oceane Dodin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-8 | 11.5-11.5 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 6.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 57.9% | 45.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alisa Oktiabreva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04 | Yue Yuan WTA Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Francesca Curmi WTA Oeiras · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/04 | Ayana Akli WTA Oeiras · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/04 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Oeiras Qual · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/04 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea WTA Oeiras · Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 28/03 | Lea Ma WTA Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/03 | Eliska Tichackova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 28/02 | Xinran Sun W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/02 | Diletta Cherubini W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 26/02 | Federica Urgesi W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Oceane Dodin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Naiktha Bains W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 16/07 | Emily Appleton W50 Nottingham |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 15/07 | Brooke Black W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Mika Stojsavljevic W50 Nottingham |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 06/07 | Francesca Curmi WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Amy Stevens W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Lulu Sun Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Laura Pigossi Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alisa Oktiabreva vs Oceane Dodin?
Our model gives 58% to Alisa Oktiabreva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.