Tennis · WTA Prague · 21/07, 11:00
Prediction: Maria Timofeeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Timofeeva
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Timofeeva
7-3 (W-L)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maria Timofeeva
0–2
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Timofeeva 1547 · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1494
| Maria Timofeeva | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 45% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Timofeeva (rating 1547 vs 1494).
- Aliaksandra Sasnovich dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 60% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Maria Timofeeva 0–2 Aliaksandra Sasnovich (2).
Statistics
| Maria Timofeeva | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (6) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-8.2 | 13.1-11.9 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 8.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 60% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Maria Timofeeva 0 – 2 Aliaksandra Sasnovich (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria Timofeeva 0–2 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/26 WTA Brisbane | 1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 17/07/24 WTA Budapest | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Timofeeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Ann Li WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Elise Mertens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Beatriz Haddad Maia Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Heather Watson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Veronika Podrez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Whitney Osuigwe Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Renata Zarazua WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Anna Blinkova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Bianca Andreescu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Storm Hunter Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 23/06 | Katy Dunne Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 13/06 | Magdalena Frech WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 07/06 | Storm Hunter WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 22/05 | Marina Bassols Ribera French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Oceane Dodin French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/05 | Whitney Osuigwe French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Timofeeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
Our model gives 51% to Maria Timofeeva, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.