Tennis · WTA Prague · 21/07, 11:00
Prediction: Ella Seidel vs Daria Snigur
Prediction summary
Winner
Ella Seidel
Daria Snigur
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ella Seidel
2-8 (W-L)
Daria Snigur
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ella Seidel
0–1
Daria Snigur
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ella Seidel 1429 · Daria Snigur 1535
| Ella Seidel | Daria Snigur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 24% | 76% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daria Snigur (rating 1429 vs 1535).
- Daria Snigur is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ella Seidel 0–1 Daria Snigur (1).
- Note: Ella Seidel makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Ella Seidel | Daria Snigur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 20% (5) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-12.1 | 10.5-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.3% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 48.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Ella Seidel 0 – 1 Daria Snigur (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ella Seidel 0–1 Daria Snigur
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/23 ITF W60 Altenkirchen | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ella Seidel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Solana Sierra WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Diane Parry WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Greet Minnen WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 06/06 | Claire Liu WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/05 | Jelena Ostapenko French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Emiliana Arango WTA Rabat · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 17/05 | Erika Andreeva W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/05 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Daria Snigur
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Leolia Jeanjean Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Elina Svitolina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 21/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Sofia Kenin WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/06 | Robin Montgomery WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Panna Udvardy WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 08/06 | Paula Badosa WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Peyton Stearns French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ella Seidel vs Daria Snigur?
Our model gives 71% to Daria Snigur, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.