Tennis · WTA Prague · 21/07, 11:00
Prediction: Nikola Bartunkova vs Yue Yuan
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikola Bartunkova
Yue Yuan
Estimated games
25.4
Recent form · 10 last
Nikola Bartunkova
9-1 (W-L)
Yue Yuan
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikola Bartunkova 1538 · Yue Yuan 1429
| Nikola Bartunkova | Yue Yuan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nikola Bartunkova (rating 1538 vs 1429).
- Nikola Bartunkova is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Nikola Bartunkova makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Nikola Bartunkova | Yue Yuan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Grass | 60% (10) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.1-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.6-12.9 | 11.7-13.7 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 58.6% |
| Break % | 39.1% | 36.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikola Bartunkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Barbora Krejcikova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Katerina Siniakova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Peyton Stearns Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/06 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Elise Mertens WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Diana Shnaider WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 07/06 | Alexandra Eala WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 06/06 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/06 | Mika Stojsavljevic WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
Yue Yuan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Aliona Falei WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Jeline Vandromme Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Robin Montgomery WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 18/05 | Harriet Dart French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 12/05 | Mayar Sherif WTA Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 14-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Simona Waltert WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 04/05 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/05 | Anna Blinkova WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 30/04 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikola Bartunkova vs Yue Yuan?
Our model gives 69% to Nikola Bartunkova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.