Tennis · WTA Prague · 21/07, 11:00
Prediction: Laura Samsonova vs Maya Joint
Prediction summary
Winner
Laura Samsonova
Maya Joint
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Laura Samsonova
4-6 (W-L)
Maya Joint
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Laura Samsonova 1525 · Maya Joint 1432
| Laura Samsonova | Maya Joint | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laura Samsonova (rating 1525 vs 1432).
- Laura Samsonova is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Laura Samsonova makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Laura Samsonova | Maya Joint | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12.2 | 9.5-13.2 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 57.5% | 52.2% |
| Break % | 39.1% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Laura Samsonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Gina Feistel WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Laura Pigossi WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 23/06 | Katie Volynets Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Xiyu Wang WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/06 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Lola Radivojevic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/05 | Lisa Zaar W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Maya Joint
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Alexandra Eala Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Serena Williams Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Emiliana Arango WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 04/06 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/05 | Anastasia Potapova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Ann Li WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Chloe Paquet WTA Paris · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 07/05 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Laura Samsonova vs Maya Joint?
Our model gives 50% to Laura Samsonova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.