Tennis · WTA Prague · 21/07, 11:00
Prediction: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Bouzkova
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Bouzkova
7-3 (W-L)
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Bouzkova 1598 · Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 1489
| Marie Bouzkova | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marie Bouzkova (rating 1598 vs 1489).
- Marie Bouzkova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Marie Bouzkova | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 80% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-9.5 | 8.4-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 61% |
| Break % | 38.3% | 39.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Bouzkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Elise Mertens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Ludmilla Samsonova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 02/07 | Tyra Caterina Grant Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Talia Gibson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 20/06 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Hannah Klugman WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Tereza Valentova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Donna Vekic WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Jessica Pegula Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Dayana Yastremska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Anastasia Potapova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Madison Keys WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Aryna Sabalenka French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro?
Our model gives 69% to Marie Bouzkova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.