Tennis · UTR Pro Waco Women · 21/07, 19:30

Prediction: Elena Mireles vs Alyson Shannon

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Elena Mireles Alyson Shannon
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Elena Mireles 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLWWWLLL
Alyson Shannon 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Elena Mireles 1533 · Alyson Shannon 1533
Elena MirelesAlyson Shannon
Our model50%50%
Market51%49%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Elena MirelesAlyson Shannon
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 67% (9) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.91.4-1.1
Games (G-P)11.5-1012.2-10.8
Aces1.60.8
Double faults2.93.1
1st serve %59.9%61.3%
Break %51.6%51%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Elena Mireles

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Maria Kononova
W35 Dallas
1-2 14-17 L
27/06 Lexie Weir
UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
26/06 Ishika Ashar
UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
25/06 Brenda Yoris
UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
24/06 Gabrielle Villegas
UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
23/06 Isabella Basson
UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard
2-1 17-15 W
06/12 Sophie Llewellyn
UTR Pro Dallas Women · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
05/12 Addison Yang Comiskey
UTR Pro Dallas Women · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
04/12 Caroline Mcginley
UTR Pro Dallas Women · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
03/12 Raegan Farm
UTR Pro Dallas Women · Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Alyson Shannon

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/06 Jane Dunyon
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
26/06 Liam Oved
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
25/06 Lillie Murphy
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
24/06 Gabrielle Guenther
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
2-1 18-11 W
23/06 Audrey Aulia
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
1-2 13-17 L
19/06 Mary Kate Monk
UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
19/06 Addy Rogin
UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard
2-1 15-7 W
17/06 Taylor Goetz
UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard
1-2 10-14 L
16/06 Violeta Martinez
UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
14/06 Ariana Gilbert
UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard
2-1 18-14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Elena Mireles vs Alyson Shannon?

Our model gives 51% to Elena Mireles, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.