Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 18/07, 23:30
Prediction: Xavier Calvelo vs Benjamin Sparks
Prediction summary
Winner
Xavier Calvelo
Benjamin Sparks
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Xavier Calvelo
6-4 (W-L)
Benjamin Sparks
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xavier Calvelo 1566 · Benjamin Sparks 1563
| Xavier Calvelo | Benjamin Sparks | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Xavier Calvelo | Benjamin Sparks | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-8.5 | 11.1-7.9 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 56.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xavier Calvelo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Robert Yang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Alexander Frusina M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Roberto Ferrer Guimaraes M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/06 | Robert Yang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Aaron Eliscu UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/06 | JP Day UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Andrew Li UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 23/06 | George Hakopian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Maciej Rajski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Benjamin Sparks
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Jacob Brumm UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Cesar Cruz UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Donald Hall UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Sebastian Bielen UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/06 | David Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Lathan Skrobarcek UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 04/06 | Niels Hoffmann UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xavier Calvelo vs Benjamin Sparks?
Our model gives 58% to Xavier Calvelo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.