Tennis · WTA Prague · 18/07, 14:00

Prediction: Sofia Costoulas vs Nao Hibino

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Sofia Costoulas Nao Hibino
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Costoulas 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLWWWLL
Nao Hibino 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLWLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sofia Costoulas 1510 · Nao Hibino 1513
Sofia CostoulasNao Hibino
Our model50%50%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Sofia Costoulas dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 47.8% break avg.
  • Note: Sofia Costoulas makes many double faults (4.4/match).

Statistics

Sofia CostoulasNao Hibino
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.2-1.1
Games (G-P)10.2-10.310.7-9.2
Aces6.63.2
Double faults4.43.7
1st serve %63.6%67.9%
Break %47.8%37.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sofia Costoulas

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Tereza Valentova
WTA Athens · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
23/06 Storm Hunter
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
01/06 Sapfo Sakellaridi
WTA Foggia · Clay
2-1 14-13 W
28/05 Nadia Podoroska
W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay
1-2 12-16 L
27/05 Justina Mikulskyte
W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay
2-0 11-3 W
21/05 Hanyu Guo
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
20/05 Mai Hontama
French Open Women · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
18/05 Tereza Mrdeza
French Open Women · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
01/05 Moyuka Uchijima
WTA Saint-Malo · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
29/04 Leolia Jeanjean
WTA Saint-Malo · Clay
2-1 17-13 W

Nao Hibino

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Clara Tauson
WTA Athens · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
12/07 Miriana Tona
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
07/07 Lucie Havlickova
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 12-4 W
03/07 Carol Young Suh Lee
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
02/07 Vaishnavi Adkar
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-1 15-8 W
01/07 Iveta Dapkute
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
24/06 Darja Semenistaja
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 12-13 L
23/06 Priscilla Hon
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-4 W
06/06 Katie Volynets
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
0-2 4-12 L
02/06 Janice Tjen
WTA Birmingham · Grass
1-2 12-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sofia Costoulas vs Nao Hibino?

Our model gives 52% to Nao Hibino, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.