Tennis · WTA Prague · 18/07, 15:30

Prediction: Victoria Bervid vs Rina Saigo

Prediction summary
Winner
35% 65%
Victoria Bervid Rina Saigo
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Victoria Bervid 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWWLWWL
Rina Saigo 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLLLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Victoria Bervid 1589 · Rina Saigo 1492
Victoria BervidRina Saigo
Our model64%36%
Market12%88%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Victoria Bervid (rating 1589 vs 1492).
  • Victoria Bervid is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Victoria Bervid makes many double faults (9/match).

Statistics

Victoria BervidRina Saigo
Win %80%50%
Win % · Hard 89% (9) 50% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.61.1-1.2
Games (G-P)12.2-8.411.4-10.4
Aces31.8
Double faults92.4
1st serve %63%57.7%
Break %67%60%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Victoria Bervid

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/06 Laura Hietaranta
W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
1-2 10-14 L
01/03 Jada Robinson
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
2-1 16-16 W
28/02 Himari Sato
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
27/02 Abigail Rencheli
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
25/02 Nicole Okhtenberg
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
24/02 Briley Rhoden
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
2-1 17-12 W
23/02 Valerie Shue
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
13/02 Athina Schlepphorst
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
11/02 Lillian Santos
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
10/02 Skye Madatali
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
2-0 13-7 W

Rina Saigo

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/07 Priska Madelyn Nugroho
WTA Istanbul · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
12/07 Naoko Eto
WTA Istanbul · Hard
2-0 12-0 W
09/07 Carol Young Suh Lee
W50 Corroios-Seixal
0-2 10-12 L
07/07 Elyse Tse
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 13-6 W
17/06 Tiana Tian Deng
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
0-2 11-14 L
10/06 Ekaterina Maklakova
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 15-17 L
06/06 Yufei Ren
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
05/06 Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 16-11 W
04/06 Jiaqi Wang
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 17-15 W
02/06 Eunhye Lee
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Victoria Bervid vs Rina Saigo?

Our model gives 65% to Rina Saigo, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.