Tennis · WTA Prague · 18/07, 12:30
Prediction: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson
Prediction summary
Winner
Aoi Ito
Gabriela Knutson
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Aoi Ito
3-7 (W-L)
Gabriela Knutson
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aoi Ito
2–0
Gabriela Knutson
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aoi Ito 1441 · Gabriela Knutson 1494
| Aoi Ito | Gabriela Knutson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriela Knutson (rating 1441 vs 1494).
- Aoi Ito dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 50.7% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Aoi Ito 2–0 Gabriela Knutson (2).
- Note: Gabriela Knutson makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Aoi Ito | Gabriela Knutson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 17% (6) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-11.5 | 10.6-10.2 |
| Aces | 8.3 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 54.1% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 49.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Aoi Ito 2 – 0 Gabriela Knutson (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aoi Ito 2–0 Gabriela Knutson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/24 ITF W75 Burnie | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/01/23 ITF W40 Nonthaburi Qual | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aoi Ito
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Alina Korneeva WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Yasmine Mansouri WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Dayana Yastremska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Diane Parry WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Amelia Rajecki WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/05 | Lulu Sun French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Jeline Vandromme French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Gabriela Knutson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Irem Kurt WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Han Shi W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 13/06 | Martyna Kubka W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Valentina Ryser W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Leilany Ipunesso W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Olga Danilova W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Joanna Garland WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson?
Our model gives 55% to Gabriela Knutson, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.