Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 17/07, 21:00

Prediction: Evan Burnett vs Nathan Pitts

Prediction summary
Winner
45% 55%
Evan Burnett Nathan Pitts
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Evan Burnett 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLWLLLWW
Nathan Pitts 5-5 (W-L)
LWWWLLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Evan Burnett 1457 · Nathan Pitts 1478
Evan BurnettNathan Pitts
Our model47%53%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Evan BurnettNathan Pitts
Win %30%40%
Win % · Hard 38% (8) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.51-1.4
Games (G-P)7.7-11.310.8-11.5
Aces11.4
Double faults2.72.4
1st serve %56.6%55.1%
Break %23.6%50.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Evan Burnett

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Azariah Rusher
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
1-2 13-13 L
15/07 Juan David Velasquez
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
14/07 Aditya Govila
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
16/06 Joshua Peck
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
20/11 Aidan Mchugh
ITF M25 Austin · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
19/11 Gus Grumet
ITF M25 Austin · Hard
2-1 18-15 W
12/11 Vlado Jankanj
ITF M25 Columbus · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
11/11 Brandon Carpico
ITF M25 Columbus · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
12/08 Benjamin Pietri
ITF M15 Pirot · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
07/08 Denis Klok
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L

Nathan Pitts

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Junghee You
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
16/07 Adrien Jonah Abarca
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
14/07 Cassius Chinlund
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
1-2 10-16 L
26/06 Gabe Avram
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
25/06 Nicholas Mangiapane
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
24/06 Mitchell Sheldon
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
23/06 Carson Baker
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
1-2 14-15 L
24/04 Sebastian Bielen
UTR Pro Clemson · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
23/04 Alan Jesudason
UTR Pro Clemson · Hard
2-1 19-13 W
22/04 Joaquin Benoit
UTR Pro Clemson · Hard
0-2 6-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Evan Burnett vs Nathan Pitts?

Our model gives 55% to Nathan Pitts, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.