Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 16/07, 21:00
Prediction: Cassius Chinlund vs Adrien Jonah Abarca
Prediction summary
Winner
Cassius Chinlund
Adrien Jonah Abarca
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Cassius Chinlund
7-3 (W-L)
Adrien Jonah Abarca
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cassius Chinlund 1568 · Adrien Jonah Abarca 1521
| Cassius Chinlund | Adrien Jonah Abarca | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cassius Chinlund (rating 1568 vs 1521).
Statistics
| Cassius Chinlund | Adrien Jonah Abarca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-9.9 | 11.2-10.4 |
| Aces | 3.7 | – |
| Double faults | 2.6 | – |
| 1st serve % | 68% | – |
| Break % | 50.6% | – |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cassius Chinlund
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Junghee You UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Nathan Pitts UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 28/06 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/06 | Brock Anderson UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/06 | David Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/06 | Robert Yang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Benjamin Berger UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Vicente Freda UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/01 | Justin Chung UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 31/12 | Vlad Cristian Breazu UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Adrien Jonah Abarca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Nathan Pitts UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/04 | Maciej Rajski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/04 | Liam Alvarez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/04 | Benjamin Berger UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/04 | Andrew Li UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 07/04 | Evan Shamlian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/04 | Marco Alvarez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/04 | Miles Clark UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/04 | Nile Ung UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 01/04 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cassius Chinlund vs Adrien Jonah Abarca?
Our model gives 72% to Cassius Chinlund, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.