Tennis · W35 Torino · 16/07, 10:00
Prediction: Lia Karatancheva vs Gaia Maduzzi
Prediction summary
Winner
Lia Karatancheva
Gaia Maduzzi
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Lia Karatancheva
5-5 (W-L)
Gaia Maduzzi
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lia Karatancheva 1545 · Gaia Maduzzi 1544
| Lia Karatancheva | Gaia Maduzzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lia Karatancheva | Gaia Maduzzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-8.2 | 9.7-6.5 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 57.4% |
| Break % | 63.3% | 48.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lia Karatancheva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Arianna Zucchini W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Lea Boskovic W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Arantxa Rus W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Chloe Paquet W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Daniela Vismane W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Charlotte Pikkaart W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/07 | Maria Sara Popa W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 7-0 | W |
| 01/07 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Gaia Maduzzi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Jessica Bertoldo W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Galatea Ferro W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Beatrice Ricci W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Tilwith Di Girolami W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Emily Webley-Smith W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 25/04 | Tara Wuerth W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/04 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/04 | Luna Vujovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/04 | Agnese Gentili W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/04 | Nina Radovanovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lia Karatancheva vs Gaia Maduzzi?
Our model gives 59% to Lia Karatancheva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.