Tennis · W35 Torino · 17/07, 10:00
Prediction: Lia Karatancheva vs Beatrice Ricci
Prediction summary
Winner
Lia Karatancheva
Beatrice Ricci
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Lia Karatancheva
5-5 (W-L)
Beatrice Ricci
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lia Karatancheva 1584 · Beatrice Ricci 1514
| Lia Karatancheva | Beatrice Ricci | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lia Karatancheva (rating 1584 vs 1514).
- Note: Beatrice Ricci makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Lia Karatancheva | Beatrice Ricci | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-8.1 | 11.1-9.3 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 60.9% | 62% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lia Karatancheva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Gaia Maduzzi W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Arianna Zucchini W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Lea Boskovic W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Arantxa Rus W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Chloe Paquet W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Daniela Vismane W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Charlotte Pikkaart W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/07 | Maria Sara Popa W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 7-0 | W |
Beatrice Ricci
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Tahlia Kokkinis W35 Torino |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Briana Szabo W35 Torino |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Eleonora Alvisi W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Julie Struplova W35 Buzau |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Gaia Maduzzi W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Ayanna Maria Mitu W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Marta Lombardini W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Ingrid Vojcinakova W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/06 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Jazmin Ortenzi W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lia Karatancheva vs Beatrice Ricci?
Our model gives 59% to Lia Karatancheva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.