Tennis · WTA Kitzbuhel · 15/07, 15:30
Prediction: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Barbora Palicova
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Lourdes Carle
Barbora Palicova
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Lourdes Carle
6-4 (W-L)
Barbora Palicova
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maria Lourdes Carle
2–1
Barbora Palicova
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Lourdes Carle 1511 · Barbora Palicova 1506
| Maria Lourdes Carle | Barbora Palicova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Maria Lourdes Carle 2–1 Barbora Palicova (3).
- Note: Maria Lourdes Carle makes many double faults (5/match).
- Note: Barbora Palicova makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Maria Lourdes Carle | Barbora Palicova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-11 | 11.6-11 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 5 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 55.6% | 54.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Maria Lourdes Carle 2 – 1 Barbora Palicova (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria Lourdes Carle 2–1 Barbora Palicova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/26 W100 Indian Harbour Beach | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/10/25 WTA Mallorca | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/04/25 WTA La Bisbal D'Emporda | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Lourdes Carle
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Kathinka Von Deichmann WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Anna Blinkova WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Laura Pigossi WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Lisa Pigato W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Dalila Jakupovic W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Valentina Steiner W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/06 | Jeline Vandromme Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Lucie Havlickova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 16/06 | Anastasiia Firman W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Rebecca Sramkova French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Barbora Palicova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Martina Colmegna WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/07 | Martina Colmegna WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Amandine Hesse WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Weronika Ewald W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Martina Okalova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Jil Teichmann WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Carolyn Ansari WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Makarska · Clay |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-1 | 13-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Lourdes Carle vs Barbora Palicova?
Our model gives 59% to Maria Lourdes Carle, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.