Tennis · WTA Kitzbuhel · 17/07, 13:30
Prediction: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Maria Lourdes Carle
Prediction summary
Winner
Marina Bassols Ribera
Maria Lourdes Carle
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Marina Bassols Ribera
6-4 (W-L)
Maria Lourdes Carle
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marina Bassols Ribera
1–1
Maria Lourdes Carle
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marina Bassols Ribera 1530 · Maria Lourdes Carle 1531
| Marina Bassols Ribera | Maria Lourdes Carle | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Maria Lourdes Carle makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Marina Bassols Ribera | Maria Lourdes Carle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.6 | 11.6-10.3 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 57.3% | 54.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Marina Bassols Ribera 1 – 1 Maria Lourdes Carle (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marina Bassols Ribera 1–1 Maria Lourdes Carle
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/22 ITF W25 Santo Domingo | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/06/21 ITF W25 Santo Domingo | 0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marina Bassols Ribera
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Arantxa Rus WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Anna-Lena Friedsam WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Robin Montgomery Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Lola Radivojevic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 09/06 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Mirra Andreeva French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 24/05 | Emiliana Arango French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/05 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 20/05 | Karolina Pliskova French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Maria Lourdes Carle
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Barbora Palicova WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 14/07 | Kathinka Von Deichmann WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Anna Blinkova WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Laura Pigossi WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Lisa Pigato W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Dalila Jakupovic W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Valentina Steiner W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/06 | Jeline Vandromme Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Lucie Havlickova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 16/06 | Anastasiia Firman W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marina Bassols Ribera vs Maria Lourdes Carle?
Our model gives 54% to Marina Bassols Ribera, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.