Tennis · WTA Kitzbuhel · 16/07, 12:00
Prediction: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Arantxa Rus
Prediction summary
Winner
Marina Bassols Ribera
Arantxa Rus
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Marina Bassols Ribera
7-3 (W-L)
Arantxa Rus
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marina Bassols Ribera
0–3
Arantxa Rus
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marina Bassols Ribera 1538 · Arantxa Rus 1506
| Marina Bassols Ribera | Arantxa Rus | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Marina Bassols Ribera dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 57.3% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Marina Bassols Ribera 0–3 Arantxa Rus (3).
Statistics
| Marina Bassols Ribera | Arantxa Rus | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.1 | 12-9.8 |
| Aces | 6.7 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 60.7% |
| Break % | 57.3% | 46% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Marina Bassols Ribera 0 – 3 Arantxa Rus (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marina Bassols Ribera 0–3 Arantxa Rus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/24 ITF W100 Barcelona | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/05/21 ITF W60 La Bisbal | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09/19 ITF W25 Marbella | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marina Bassols Ribera
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Anna-Lena Friedsam WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Robin Montgomery Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Lola Radivojevic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 09/06 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Mirra Andreeva French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 24/05 | Emiliana Arango French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/05 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 20/05 | Karolina Pliskova French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/05 | Amandine Monnot French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Arantxa Rus
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Leonie Rabl WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/07 | Lia Karatancheva W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Federica Urgesi W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Sarah Van Emst W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Martina Capurro Taborda W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 23/06 | Veronika Podrez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Jazmin Ortenzi French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 08/05 | Kristina Liutova W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Madison Brengle W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/05 | Eryn Cayetano W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marina Bassols Ribera vs Arantxa Rus?
Our model gives 56% to Marina Bassols Ribera, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.