Tennis · WTA Kitzbuhel · 15/07, 12:30
Prediction: Veronika Erjavec vs Mona Barthel
Prediction summary
Winner
Veronika Erjavec
Mona Barthel
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Veronika Erjavec
4-6 (W-L)
Mona Barthel
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Veronika Erjavec
0–2
Mona Barthel
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Veronika Erjavec 1481 · Mona Barthel 1458
| Veronika Erjavec | Mona Barthel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Mona Barthel dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 47.3% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Veronika Erjavec 0–2 Mona Barthel (2).
- Note: Mona Barthel makes many double faults (8.4/match).
Statistics
| Veronika Erjavec | Mona Barthel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-12.9 | 10.5-12.3 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 8.4 |
| 1st serve % | 58.1% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 52% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
H2H · Veronika Erjavec 0 – 2 Mona Barthel (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Veronika Erjavec 0–2 Mona Barthel
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/25 WTA Makarska | 1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 11/05/24 W75 Trnava | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Veronika Erjavec
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Victoria Bosio WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Leolia Jeanjean Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 21/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 13/06 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Elena Rybakina French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Federica Urgesi WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Huzhou · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/05 | Xiyu Wang WTA Huzhou · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/05 | Wushuang Zheng WTA Huzhou · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Mona Barthel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Arabella Koller WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Lola Radivojevic WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
| 01/07 | Victoria Pohle W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Lin Zhu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Anna-Lena Friedsam French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 28/04 | Mia Pohankova W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 23/04 | Linda Klimovicova WTA Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia WTA Oeiras · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Veronika Erjavec vs Mona Barthel?
Our model gives 60% to Veronika Erjavec, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.